AC Bellinzona vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 4
BEL
34%
23%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 0
ETO
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ETO
1 - 1
WIL
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
KRI
1 - 1
ETO
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ETO
2 - 1
CHI
29%
26%
44%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 3
WOH
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |