Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-4
AC Bellinzona vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FCV
0 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
DNI
3 - 2
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
0 - 2
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KPT
0 - 0
DNI
27%
30%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 2
DNI
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
DNI
3 - 2
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
DNI
0 - 0
SHA
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
LVI
0 - 1
DNI
28%
29%
44%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |