AC Bellinzona vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CON
3 - 0
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 3
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SIO
3 - 4
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 1
SIO
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
KRI
2 - 2
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CON
3 - 0
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CON
1 - 0
KRI
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 3
CON
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CON
1 - 4
SCH
46%
23%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |