AC Bellinzona vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
4 - 1
BEL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCW
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +7 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAU
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 1
YVE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 4
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +7 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |