AC Bellinzona vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
CHI
5 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
BEL
2 - 0
STG
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BEL
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
BEL
3 - 1
CSC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
YOB
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
BAS
4 - 4
FCL
84%
10%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 2
NEX
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 5
GCZ
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |