AC Bellinzona vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAU
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SIO
4 - 1
BEL
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BEL
3 - 0
WIN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
MEY
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 2
WOH
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
KRI
2 - 2
BAD
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BAU
1 - 0
BAD
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
BAD
3 - 1
YFJ
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |