AC Bellinzona vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BEL
5 - 0
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 2
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 4
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 3
SIO
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAD
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |