AC Bellinzona vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
4 - 1
BEL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
FCW
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +7 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAU
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
STG
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 2
LUG
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
SER
1 - 1
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +6 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
BAD
1 - 8
GCZ
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
STG
4 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |