AC Bellinzona vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 1
BEL
9%
19%
72%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 2
TAV
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 23 | 42 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 3
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 3
LUG
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
IBA
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 5
ASC
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
ASC
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 0
TAV
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
ASC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
IBA
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |