Bellaria Igea vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 0
VIN
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
0 - 2
PRO
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
TRE
14%
24%
62%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
USA
3 - 1
VIN
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
REN
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
USP
0 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USA
3 - 1
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
USP
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
USP
3 - 1
SAV
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 3
USP
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +3 |