Bellaria Igea vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
VIN
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIN
64%
22%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
RIM
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 3
VIN
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
USA
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
USA
53%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
USA
2 - 1
RIM
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |