Bellaria Igea vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CUN
2 - 1
VIN
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 5
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
VIN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 1
VIN
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
REA
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |