Bellaria Igea vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 1
VIN
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
VIN
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
REN
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BV5
4 - 0
VIN
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
REA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
30%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPA
34%
26%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |