Bellaria Igea vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
65%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
RAV
2 - 2
VIN
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
0 - 2
VIR
29%
25%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIN
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IMO
2 - 3
VIN
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 4
LEN
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEL
0 - 0
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
RAV
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |