Bellaria Igea vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIN
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
RIM
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
VIN
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
FAN
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 3
SAV
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
6 - 0
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
USA
5 - 1
MIL
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 2
PRO
14%
22%
65%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
3 - 3
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |