Bellaria Igea vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
VIN
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
REN
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BV5
4 - 0
VIN
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 2
ASS
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 0
VIN
52%
25%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
REA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
USA
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CUN
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +4 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |