Bellaria Igea vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
USA
3 - 1
VIN
74%
18%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 3
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIN
72%
19%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
PRO
17%
23%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
REN
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
FCC
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |