Bellaria Igea vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 2
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIN
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
VIN
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 2
ACM
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
3 - 3
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 6
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
LAQ
48%
27%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 1
FAN
59%
24%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |