Bellaria Igea vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
VIN
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 2
FCC
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
USA
3 - 1
VIN
74%
18%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 3
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIN
72%
19%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAS
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 2
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |