Bellaria Igea vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VNZ
4 - 4
VIN
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 1
REN
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
VIN
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BV5
4 - 1
VIN
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIN
3 - 1
MIL
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIM
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
5 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MAN
62%
20%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |