Bellaria Igea vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIN
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 2
USA
20%
26%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
VIN
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIN
64%
22%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
MAN
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
USA
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
TRE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |