SS Arezzo vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
PES
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ARZ
3 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VIC
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LAZ
44%
32%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAR
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
TRI
44%
31%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
TRI
2 - 1
CAM
60%
26%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 1
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
TRI
3 - 0
CES
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |