SS Arezzo vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUT
0 - 3
ARZ
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
USA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 0
USC
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GER
2 - 1
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
PIA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |