SS Arezzo vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 2
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIM
1 - 1
ARZ
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
GER
63%
22%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PON
1 - 1
SIE
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 3
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TUT
3 - 0
SIE
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -2 |