SS Arezzo vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 1
ARZ
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 1
ARZ
16%
25%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 2
VIR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
REA
2 - 2
BEN
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USF
2 - 1
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
REA
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
CAV
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |