SS Arezzo vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ORV
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASD
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
ARZ
12%
16%
73%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TER
0 - 1
PIN
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 4
PIN
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PIN
3 - 1
RCF
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
PIN
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
PIN
5 - 1
UST
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |