SS Arezzo vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
27%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ATL
29%
35%
36%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ARZ
2 - 0
TAR
44%
32%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
TER
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
26%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRI
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
PRG
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
43%
34%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |