SS Arezzo vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
3 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
PAR
4 - 0
BRI
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |