SS Arezzo vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 4
ARZ
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
LEC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
USC
5 - 1
ARZ
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
PAG
40%
29%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
33%
29%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASF
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |