SS Arezzo vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 3
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
4 - 1
BEN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
SOR
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USF
1 - 1
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
TER
1 - 0
PAG
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PES
1 - 0
PAG
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |