SS Arezzo vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BRI
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -6 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAL
45%
30%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PAG
0 - 2
FCC
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
PAG
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |