SS Arezzo vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
ARZ
66%
23%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 2
COM
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 1
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
64%
23%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PRG
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 2
NOV
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAL
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
USF
0 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |