SS Arezzo vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
REG
5 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SAV
3 - 2
ARZ
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 4
POT
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FCC
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 0
MES
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 0
VER
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAV
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
USA
2 - 2
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |