SS Arezzo vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 2
LOD
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 0
ARZ
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
NOC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
3 - 1
FIA
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 1
NOC
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |