SS Arezzo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 2
LAZ
34%
32%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 1
REG
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARZ
38%
34%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARZ
57%
27%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 2
BRE
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |