SS Arezzo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
PAD
1 - 1
ARZ
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ARZ
3 - 0
USA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 3
ARZ
58%
25%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
POT
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
USA
2 - 2
MOD
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 2
MOD
48%
29%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |