SS Arezzo vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAM
49%
31%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 1
BAR
44%
33%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
28%
32%
41%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |