SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUT
0 - 3
ARZ
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
COM
2 - 3
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASL
3 - 1
TUT
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
OLB
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 2
ASL
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |