SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 2
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 2
ARZ
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 3
ASL
51%
27%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |