SS Arezzo vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
29.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TRI
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSB
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 0
GEN
45%
29%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ARZ
5 - 4
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
40%
32%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSB
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LEC
3 - 0
BOL
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCC
1 - 4
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |