SS Arezzo vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
24%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARZ
47%
31%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARZ
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ARZ
3 - 0
FCC
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
56%
28%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
42%
32%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
57%
26%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
GEN
46%
31%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 1
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |