SS Arezzo vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 1
ARZ
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 2
USC
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 1
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ACL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SOR
3 - 2
ARZ
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 3
LEC
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
USC
4 - 3
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 1
ACL
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 2
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |