SS Arezzo vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
ARZ
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 2
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 2
FCS
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
FCS
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
SAS
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |