SS Arezzo vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PES
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
VIC
0 - 1
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 2
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
52%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 0
FCC
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |