SS Arezzo vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAS
29%
29%
43%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
JUS
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
NOC
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
2 - 1
CAT
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 0
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |