SS Arezzo vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
27%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ARZ
0 - 0
REG
61%
26%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
44%
32%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
BAR
60%
28%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAT
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
TER
1 - 0
CAT
57%
27%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |