SS Arezzo vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VER
1 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GEN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
POT
1 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAT
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
SAV
2 - 1
CAT
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |