SS Arezzo vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
JUS
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAS
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
2 - 2
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
CAS
1 - 1
INT
9%
21%
69%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
INT
1 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |