SS Arezzo vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
FIO
2 - 0
ARZ
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PES
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
NAP
4 - 1
ARZ
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
CAG
2 - 1
ARZ
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAS
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 3
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 0
PES
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |