SS Arezzo vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 0
ARZ
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 3
LEC
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 3
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TRE
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACL
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |